Six Nations Key Lessons Week Three




By Nick Powell

Ugh. 

England beaten. The slam dream over. But Wales march on and are just two games away from clinching a fourth grand slam in 14 years. 

Meanwhile injury plagued Scotland were beaten by the resurgent French in Paris, and Ireland edged out gutsy Italy. 

But what were the big takeaways on a weekend where I wish I'd stayed at home...

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Elliot Daly. He can’t do it

I’m surprised this features in the key lessons, given that we all knew this already but Elliot Daly isn’t a full back, he can’t cope at international level and the way he was exposed so brutally showed that.

After failing to gather a high ball, Wales built the phases before going wide and scoring their first try, as they established control, he was beaten to a high ball by Josh Adams for their second.

Beaten 

 Why on earth Jones doesn’t use him as a replacement utility back, or “number 23” is beyond me. He can cover 13, both wings and (apparently) full back, but Jones insists on starting him in his weakest position.

Mike Brown is in superb form for Harlequins, he simply has to be the man that Jones considers for the World Cup.

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An Early Lead in an England vs Wales game isn't necessarily a good thing 

If you take the last six competitive games between England and Wales it is quite staggering how big leads get eroded in the second half.

In 2015 and 2017 England stormed back from 16-8 and 16-11 down respectively to win 16-21, In 2016 England led 25-7 before clinging on for a 25-21 win, in the World Cup a few months prior to that game they led by 10 points only to be beaten, and last year their 12 point lead was halved by full time.

England led Wales 22-12 with 18 minutes left of their Rugby World Cup Group game, we all know how that finished

This year, England were 10-3 up, and should have been further clear, but as the game tightened up and Wales found their rhythm, England seemed to panic. They lost the second half 18-3.

Perhaps it’s the nature of the contest between these two sides but they always seem to panic and go into their shell when they lead.

So if these to meet again at the World Cup and one team is looking good in the first half, give it some thought before you stick a bet on them.

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Biggar > Anscombe 

Briefly on 50 minutes, England seemed to lose their heads, but after Farrell slotted his side into a 13-9 lead with half an hour left, it seemed the men in white had regathered themselves.

As Biggar came on a woman in front of me, who seemed to like English people in the stadium about as much as maggots in the fridge, leaned back and said, “he’s gonna stick it up you.”

Biggar was absolute superb

 And boy did he. Biggar brought a perfect blend of control and dynamism onto the field which Wales simply hadn’t had for the previous 65 minutes.

His high balls exposed Daly, his organisation whipped Wales’ forwards into shape and his testing of the English defence caused them to panic. I doubted his credentials as Wales became increasingly boring around 2017, but he was magnificent.

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Scotland must keep their first team fit

Make no mistake, Saturday represented an enormous step back for Scottish Rugby. They weren’t just beaten, they were hammered, and it could’ve been a lot more than it was.

It means that after three games Scotland have a narrow victory over Italy, a defeat against Ireland (who did very little to earn a win) and a hammering at the hands of the team that were blown away at Twickenham.

Rampant Wales and hungry England are next for Scotland and unless they get their players back from injury it could be an ugly finish for them.

If they are to do well at this year’s Rugby World Cup, they simply have to keep their first team fit.

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Hope for Les Bleus

We’ve seen it all from the French at this year’s tournament. A superb start followed by the most generously gift-wrapped victory of all time to Wales and a staggeringly poor performance at Twickenham has now been accompanied by a really solid win.

They had their moments. A brain fade allowing Scotland their sole try and some errors in key areas both stopped it from being more but they controlled the game, defended well and actually looked like they had a plan.

Ntamack had a tremendous game for France

 Their World Cup group features England and Argentina, the latter of which they crucially play first. It will be really tough for them but that kind of performance would probably see them home against the Pumas, and cause England a lot more problems than last time out.

It really was the worst time for Scotland to play them, as they’d been given time to re-group after their shocking opening rounds, and they will hope they can repeat that performance in at least one of their remaining two games.

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Italy are the victim of bias

Massive, massive point to finish. As I’ve written more and more articles I’ve always tried to avoid controversy but I never refrain from speaking with my heart and as much as I despise many of his outrageous journalistic opinions, Sunday Times writer Stephen Jones’ analysis of minutes 40-60 in Italy vs Ireland couldn't be more accurate:

“In Rome, Glen Jackson expected Ireland to win this game and is reffing to fulfil his own prophecy. Twenty appalling minutes.”

The only thing wrong with that tweet was the failure to mention, as one reply-er pointed out, that he actually got worse in the last 20.

When home crowds get the better of referees, it is only natural. England massively got the rub of the green with Nigel Owens against France a fortnight ago, Wales’ vocal fans can sometimes get them a few of the 50:50s in Cardiff and had this been at the Aviva, I’d have focussed a lot less on Glen Jackson’s performance.

But a string of really harsh penalties kept on going against the Italians and that, combined with some rotten luck, meant that from the start of the second half the writing was on the wall.

I have often advocated for relegation in the Six Nations, but this game changed my mind. Perhaps Italy’s insane discipline is not just because they are prone to giving away silly penalties, but because the referees wholeheartedly believe that they are.

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